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Weekly Seasonality Outlook: 17 July 2023

Discover unique profit opportunities through seasonal patterns and events in the stock market.


Welcome to our newsletter!

We aim to regularly provide valuable information and expertise to help you find and evaluate successful investments and trades.

We send out different issues per week:

  1. Seasonality Outlook
  2. Seasonal Patterns of the Week

In this issue, you will find relevant content to help you increase your trading success and take advantage of opportunities in the stock markets.

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Seasonal Market Outlook

The market overview shows you current trends, developments, and prospects of seasonal patterns in various asset classes.


Major Indices

Let's take a look at the major indices.

Seasonal Outlook: Indices

The major indices' seasonal patterns for the next 30 days are positive.

The Hsi and the Nasdaq index are solid.

The following chart shows the strongest and weakest seasonal patterns.

Election Seasonal Outlook (Post, Mid, Pre, Election): Indices

Let's take a look at the indices in the current pre-election year.

The performance of the indices shows a sideways movement until the end of July and then a very strong downward trend.

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Indices

The 10-day intraday seasonality shows a negative development for almost all indices in the last trading hours. Such behavior indicates that institutional market participants are reducing their positions in the equity market.


Here is the same chart with the US indices. The intraday picture has improved compared to last week. Especially Russel (RUT) has developed well.

US Sectors

Let's take a look at the U.S. sectors.

Seasonal Outlook: Sectors

The seasonal patterns for the next 30 days for U.S. sectors, like the indexes, show seasonal strength.

The following chart shows the strongest and weakest seasonal patterns.

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Sectors

The 10-day seasonal patterns for the US sectors are positive. However, as with the U.S. indices, there is selling in the final trading hours.



Let's take a look at the currencies.

Seasonal Outlook: Currencies

The 30-day seasonality for FX futures shows a negative trend due to the continued strength of the US dollar during this period. The Pound and Australian Dollar show the strongest seasonal downtrends.


Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Currencies

The 10-day seasonal trend for currency forwards shows a mixed picture. The CHF and the JPY have the most robust seasonal movement, and the CAD has the weakest.

All currencies have gained against the USD.



Let's take a look at the crypto.

Seasonal Outlook: Crypto

The seasonal pattern for the next 30 days for the major cryptocurrencies shows a downtrend for the next seven days and then an uptrend. Polkadot, in particular, offers a robust seasonal pattern from July 20.


Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Crypto

The 10-day seasonal trend for cryptocurrencies shows a positive picture.

The positive movement at the beginning of the day continued until noon. After that, a price drop led to a sideways trend from around 16:00.



Let's take a look at the commodities.

Seasonal Outlook: Commodities

The seasonal pattern for the next 30 days shows a mixed picture of commodities.

Silver and coffee show a positive seasonal pattern.


The following chart shows the strongest and we:akest seasonal patterns.

An interesting seasonal picture can also be seen in the agricultural future. Soybeans and corn stand out in a negative seasonal way.

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Commodities

The 10-day seasonal intraday pattern shows a mixed picture.

Palladium shows a very positive pattern, while natural gas shows a negative trend in the second half of the day.


Interesting seasonal pattern

What are the opportunities based on seasonal solid patterns?

It may be boring, but this week's most interesting seasonal picture in agricultural futures is also seen. A negative seasonal way characterizes soybeans and corn.

Profit from recurring patterns.

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Our screening and analysis tools

Help you find recurring patterns with an annual accuracy rate of over 90%. The Seasonality Screener and Event Screener show you the best periodic trends for stocks, ETFs, currencies (Forex), commodities, and futures. You can find profitable times to trade and invest with just a few clicks.

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For more information and analysis, visit Seasonality.Ai.


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