FAQ - Frequently Asked Questions

A seasonal pattern is a recurring price trend that repeats itself in a calendar year.
For example, if Microsoft's stock has risen from mid-October to mid-November every year for the last ten years, that is a seasonal pattern.
Seasonality provides an advantage in strategic decision-making when trading on the stock market by determining the likelihood of a profitable trade.
Investors need to consider the seasonality of price movements as they have a major impact on the overall portfolio's performance.

Seasonal patterns based on identifiable causes and well-analyzed statistically are considered stable and have a high probability of recurring in the future.

Yes, if you look at the backtests of the seasonal patterns, there are many results where the hit rate is between 75-95%. There are always exceptions to these seasonal patterns where the price trend has gone in the opposite direction.
It is also not recommended to only look for seasonal patterns with a 100% hit rate. You will generate more successful results if you implement several trades with a hit rate of 75-100%.

Seasonalaity.Ai is a tool that helps traders analyze any instrument's seasonal patterns and evaluate the quality.
The application is based on an algorithm created by statisticians and an AI system.
We offer a platform that significantly simplifies the process of finding and analyzing trading decisions and is designed to bring high-added value to the user's trading and investment decisions.
We focus on recurring price patterns. These include seasonal patterns and price patterns of recurring events such as public holidays, share earnings, or the publication of economic figures.
If you still need to include data or analysis forms, please feel free to give us feedback.

Seasonality.Ai offers two ways to identify profitable seasonal patterns.

1. Seasonality Screener. The screener is a tool that identifies seasonal patterns in different markets and different time levels (Yearly, Monthly, Weekly).
Use the seasonality screener. The Screnner is a tool that identifies seasonal patterns. Use the Screnner filter functions to customize the results according to your needs.
For example, if you want to search for seasonal patterns in your portfolio, you can map your portfolio as a watchlist. The Screnner will only search for the best seasonal patterns in the specific watchlist.

2. Open the instrument of your choice and use the "Best Pattern" function. It will show you the 100 best seasonal patterns per instrument.

There are seasonal patterns that work 100% over a more extended period. There is no guarantee that they will continue to work, but there is a high probability that they will continue to repeat.
Seasonal patterns work best when the overall trend and market sentiment match the seasonal pattern.
For example: The index should not be in a bear market for seasonal long patterns in equities. For seasonal patterns in currencies, it helps if the interest rate trend has the same direction as the seasonal pattern.

Yes, there are various ways to analyze your equity portfolio seasonally.
1. Create a watchlist with your stocks or instruments. You can use the watchlist in the Seasonality Screener. The screener then searches for seasonal patterns in your portfolio. You can also use the watchlist in the Seasonality Comparison Tool. The comparison tool shows the seasonal patterns of all instruments in the watchlist in a chart.
2. You can save the best seasonal patterns with the favorites function. This gives you access to the best seasonal patterns in your portfolio at any time.

Yes, the following analysis tools analyze intraday data.

• Seasonality Analyzer - Intraday
• Seasonality Comparison - Intraday
• Event Analyzer - Intraday

We calculate the profitability of seasonal patterns with a backtest.
The result shows how the portfolio would have developed if only this seasonal pattern had been traded in the past.
If the backtest shows a high hit rate, there is a high probability that the seasonal pattern will also occur in the future.

Please send us the list of missing instruments. We will add them to our list.

Seasonality results from fundamental, repetitive developments.
The reasons are numerous. However, common reasons are, for example, earnings in the case of shares and the recurring transfer of money at the end of fiscal periods in the case of currencies. Regarding individual commodities, the weather and heating patterns impact pricing. Equity funds engage in "window dressing" and try to optimize their returns at the end of the year by driving up share prices.
The holiday effect also usually has a more positive impact on the mood of market participants, and many investors use their free time to make investment decisions.
Seasonality can refer to a calendar season, such as summer or winter, and a commercial season, such as vacation. Companies that understand the seasonality of their business can accurately predict inventory levels, staffing needs, and other decisions and time them to match the expected seasonality of related business activities, thereby reducing costs and increasing revenue.

Because the reasons for seasonal patterns vary widely, it is also essential to understand that seasonal patterns do not only occur on a year-to-year basis (repeating from year to year). Seasonal patterns also exist from month to month or week to week.

Detrending means that the seasonal chart is adjusted so that seasonal patterns can be better recognized visually.
This is particularly useful for analyzing an instrument showing a sustained substantial price increase. In these cases, the average seasonal chart usually indicates a straight line from bottom left to top right.
This makes it challenging to recognize seasonal patterns. This is why a detrended chart starts at 100 and ends at 100, making it easier to recognize rises and falls in the chart.

Yes, it is possible to optimize a seasonal pattern.

The backtest and the analysis statistics show the seasonal pattern's development. Seasonal data is displayed per year, month, week, day of the month, and day of the week. This data can be used to identify which times work better or worse for the seasonal pattern.
The filter options offer further possibilities to exclude different time periods, such as bull or bear market phases, from the analysis.

Screener results are exclusively backtests from the past. Analyzer results also include trades that are currently running.

For example, if an entry in the Screener shows that trade from the beginning of March to the end of April has a hit rate of 100% and a sortino ratio of 100, then this backtest only includes data from previous years.
If you open this entry in the analyzer in mid-March, the analyzer will consist of the current year (which is missing in the backtest) in the analysis to show the current status.
The result in the Analyzer may differ from the key figures in the Screener display.

If you send us an e-mail promptly after the end of the 7-day trial period, we will find a solution to your satisfaction.

Yes, that is not a problem. There are two different cases.

• 1. if the number of your subscriptions does not change, you can send us an e-mail informing us of the product change. We will then implement the adjustment for you.
• 2. if the number of products you want to use from us changes when you change products, we recommend canceling the subscription with the payment provider (Paypal or Stripe) and taking out a new subscription with the latest selection.

You can cancel your subscription at any time.
However, please note that your subscription will only be canceled at the end of the billing period you have already paid for.
For example, if you have an annual subscription and want to cancel it two months before renewal, the subscription will remain active until the end of the billing period you have already paid for.
If you still need to cancel your subscription and would like to do so immediately after renewal, please send us an e-mail so we can find a solution.

All analysis tools can be used free of charge at any time with 3-6 instruments.
The screeners and analysis tools can be tested during the first seven days of the subscription. You will not be charged if you cancel your subscription within the first seven days.

Test our platform without risk and optimize your investment strategy.

If you use our analysis tools free of charge, you can only use 3-6 instruments.
With the subscription, you can access the screeners and all available instruments (over 20000 tickers).
Use the power of seasonality to optimize the growth of your portfolio.