Weekly Seasonality Outlook: 31 July 2023

Discover unique profit opportunities through seasonal patterns and events in the stock market.

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1. Seasonality Outlook
2. Seasonal Patterns of the Week

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Seasonal Market Outlook

The market overview shows you current trends, developments, and prospects of seasonal patterns in various asset classes.

Summary

Major Indices

Let's take a look at the major indices.

Seasonal Outlook: Indices

The seasonal patterns of the major indices for the next 30 days are almost all negative.

These seasonal patterns show the famous summer lull. From the beginning of August, there were mostly falling prices in recent years.

The following chart shows the strongest and weakest seasonal patterns.

Election Seasonal Outlook (Post, Mid, Pre, Election): Indices

Let's take a look at the indices in the current pre-election year.

The development of the indices shows a sharp downward trend!

Due to the current high valuation, there may also be a correction this year, which is considered healthy by many market participants.

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Indices

The 10-day intraday seasonality shows a positive picture.

Here is the same chart with the US indices. The intraday picture shows that the first half of the day was used to buy and the second half to sell.

US Sectors

Let's take a look at the U.S. sectors.

Seasonal Outlook: Sectors

Unlike the indices, the US sectors show a more stable seasonal pattern.

Energy still shows a weak seasonal pattern from the beginning of August.

The following chart shows the strongest and weakest seasonal patterns.

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Sectors

The seasonal 10-day patterns for the US sectors are mixed. It is a mixed picture with no significant intraday developments.

Currencies

Let's take a look at the currencies.

Seasonal Outlook: Currencies

The 30-day seasonality for FX futures is mixed. The strongest seasonal downtrend is the Australian dollar, which already turned positive last week.

The following chart shows the strongest and weakest seasonal patterns.

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Currencies

The 10-day seasonal trend for currency forwards shows a positive picture. The JPY shows the most robust seasonal movement.

All currencies have gained against the USD.

Crypto

Let's take a look at the crypto.

Seasonal Outlook: Crypto

The seasonal pattern for the next 30 days for the major cryptocurrencies shows a mixed picture. Polkadot, in particular, offers a robust seasonal pattern from July 25.

The following chart shows the strongest and weakest seasonal patterns.

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Crypto

The seasonal 10-day trend for cryptocurrencies shows a mixed picture.

Only Dogecoin had a positive development.

Commodities

Let's take a look at the commodities.

Seasonal Outlook: Commodities

The seasonal pattern for the next 30 days shows a mixed picture for commodities.

Only copper and oil offer more pronounced negative seasonal patterns.

The following chart shows the strongest and weakest seasonal patterns.

Seasonal Intraday Outlook: Commodities

The seasonal 10-day intraday pattern shows a mixed picture.

Gas shows a very negative pattern, while Oil shows a positive trend.

Interesting seasonal pattern

What are the opportunities based on seasonal solid patterns?

An interesting picture emerges from the seasonal fluctuations in interest rate futures. They all show a positive pattern. This already started at the beginning of July and ended at the end of August.

Profit from recurring patterns.

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Our screening and analysis tools

Help you find recurring patterns with an annual accuracy rate of over 90%. The Seasonality Screener and Event Screener show you the best periodic trends for stocks, ETFs, currencies (Forex), commodities, and futures. You can find profitable times to trade and invest with just a few clicks.

Our database contains hundreds of grand entry and exit points.

The Seasonality Screener is part of our Seasonal Essentials program, which includes two other powerful tools for analyzing recurring price patterns.

For more information and analysis, visit Seasonality.Ai.